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ã€Abstract】 Ni Hongjie: Thanks to the rapid development of the national economy, the growth rate of the entire engine industry in 2007 is still relatively fast, especially the rapid growth of the two major markets of automobiles and construction machinery.
——Interview with Ni Hongjie, Chairman of China Internal Combustion Engine Industry Association
In 2007, China's auto industry once again achieved rapid development. What is the operating status of the engine industry? At the end of 2007, the reporter interviewed Ni Hongjie, chairman of China National Internal Combustion Engine Industry Association, and asked him to introduce the overall operation of the engine industry in 2007, and made a forecast on the implementation of country 3 standards and the 2008 market.
Reporter: What is the overall operating status of the engine industry in 2007? What are the characteristics?
Ni Hongjie: Thanks to the rapid development of the national economy, the growth rate of the entire engine industry in 2007 is still relatively fast, especially the rapid growth of the two major markets of automobiles and construction machinery.
Speaking of features, a good phenomenon is that the growth rate of new products in the engine industry is relatively fast, and the average cumulative growth rate of new products is close to 30%.
In the past few years, after the national discharge table came out, the entire engine industry has undergone great changes in ideological concepts. Each company has invested heavily in new products, research and development speed is relatively fast, and the technological progress of the entire industry has progressed by leaps and bounds. Despite the large production capacity of the overall engine, we do not pursue growth in production, but rather we want to make favorable adjustments to the product structure.
Reporter: What are the major problems encountered by the engine industry in 2007?
Ni Hongjie: The major problems encountered by companies in 2007 were the increase in raw material prices and the increase in oil prices. This has reduced the company's profitability. First of all, the prices of raw materials, such as pig iron and non-ferrous metals, are rising. Most of the raw material suppliers require advance payment. Secondly, each engine must be tested before leaving the factory to burn a lot of oil. Third, transportation costs are also higher. More; Fourth, the vehicle manufacturer's product price reduction generally requires the supplier to share. This rise and fall, the impact of the engine plant is obvious. Without these factors, the engine industry will operate better in 2007.
Reporter: Starting in January 2008, heavy-duty vehicles are required to implement the State 3 standard emission regulations; since July 2008, light-duty vehicles will also implement the same regulations. Is the automobile engine company ready? anymore question?
Ni Hongjie: At present, most of our backbone enterprises have mastered the national 3 emission technologies, and some products from the national enterprise level 4 have also been introduced. Products such as Yuchai State 5 have also been launched; light vehicle engines have reached the national 3 level. No problem, it should be said that in implementing the country's 3 emission standards, the engine plant is ready for technology and production.
Currently, there are two main problems in the implementation of country 3: One is the issue of oil supply. For large cities, this issue is not a big issue. For example, Beijing has already started to supply fuel from the country in 2008. However, many small and medium-sized cities are still unable to do so, and it is indeed difficult to implement them. The other is the cost issue. Take the electronic injection system to see whether the common rail system or single pump system, the cost must be increased a lot, which is acceptable for heavy vehicles; but for light vehicles, if the engine plant uses the common rail system, At present, the price of a common rail system of a Bosch company is between 6,000 and 8,000 yuan. How much is a four-cylinder light-vehicle engine sold? That is, six or seven thousand yuan, some even as low as four or five thousand yuan. If the common-rail system is used, the cost of the engine will have to be doubled, and the automobile factory cannot accept it because a light-duty vehicle is currently sold in the market for $30,000 to $40,000.
Of course, the common rail system developed by domestic manufacturers has also come out, but it has not yet formed batches; in addition, domestic manufacturers use fuel injection methods that are cheaper and other methods are also being developed and tested. However, on the whole, although there are still half a year away from the implementation of the national 3 emission standards for light vehicles, the current status of cost factors cannot be fundamentally changed.
Reporter: In 2008, the country will implement a steady and tight economic policy. How will it affect the engine industry?
Ni Hongjie: At present, enterprises have already reflected the problem that banks have too tight control funds, and some companies have already made loans from banks. In 2008, the country’s tightening economic policy has been set. The engine industry will certainly be affected to a certain extent, and the growth rate should be lowered. However, the strength of the engine industry is that the supporting surface is relatively wide. In 2008, some state-owned large-scale projects will still be carried out. The construction machinery market will not fall too much; due to the driving of consumer demand, the impact on the car market will be relatively small; the main affected It may be the commercial vehicle segment. However, as a whole, as long as GDP maintains a high growth rate, if the banks keep a good grasp of the policies, the engine industry will not be affected too deeply; if the banks tighten their policies, they will have an impact on the entire engine industry. It will be great. 